The Rising Risk of Fire:
Global Forecast 2025–2100
The most comprehensive wildfire risk projection report available — drawing on 40+ peer-reviewed studies, government climate reports, and satellite observation data. Country-by-country projections, US state-by-state risk, fire danger indices, and full bibliography.
+50% Global Extreme Fire by 2100
×10 Mediterranean by 2100
+60% India Severe Fire Days
UNEP 2022 — +14% by 2030, +30% by 2050, +50% by 2100 in global extreme fire events
El Garroussi et al., npj 2024 — Europe faces up to tenfold increase in extreme fire probability by 2100
Chaturvedi et al., Nature 2023 — +60% severe fire weather days in Indian dry forests under climate change
Ruffault et al., Nat. Climate Change 2025 — 83.9% of wildfire-vulnerable species facing higher risk under SSP2-4.5